[SMM Nickel Midday Review] Nickel prices bottomed out on December 17, as US non-farm payrolls increased by 64,000 in November, exceeding expectations.

Published: Dec 17, 2025 11:32

SMM Nickel December 17 News:

Macro and Market News:

(1) US nonfarm payrolls increased by 64,000 seasonally adjusted in November, higher than expectations. Nonfarm payrolls in October fell by 105,000 MoM, while market expectations were for a decline of 25,000. The US unemployment rate in November was 4.6%, a four-year high.

(2) NDRC: Vigorously boost residents' willingness to consume and deeply implement special actions to stimulate consumption. Strengthen anti-monopoly and unfair competition law enforcement.

Spot Market:

On December 17, the SMM #1 refined nickel price was 111,900-118,700 yuan/mt, with an average price of 115,300 yuan/mt, up 550 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The mainstream spot premiums/discounts quotation range for Jinchuan #1 refined nickel was 6,000-6,500 yuan/mt, with an average premium of 6,250 yuan/mt, up 650 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The domestic mainstream brand electrodeposited nickel spot premiums/discounts quotation range was -100-400 yuan/mt.

Futures Market:

The most-traded SHFE nickel contract (2601) fluctuated at lows during the night session, and prices bottomed out in the morning session. By the close, it was reported at 113,300 yuan/mt, up 0.67%.

Current nickel prices are supported at the bottom by integrated MHP costs, leaving limited downside room. However, upside remains suppressed by high inventory and weak demand fundamentals. The most-traded SHFE nickel contract price is expected to trade in the range of 112,000-116,000 yuan/mt.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

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